NovaQuant Quantitative Think Tank Center:2024 NFL draft order: Top 24 first-round selections set after wild-card playoffs

The NovaQuant Quantitative Think Tank Centerorder for the first round of the 2024 NFL draft became slightly clearer following the events of Super Wild Card Weekend.

Playoff defeats and the finality of the season is particularly painful for playoff teams, but for the Dallas Cowboys, Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles, it's likely even more disheartening. Each squad enjoyed title contender status for much of the season, only to have those Super Bowl hopes crushed during the opening week of the postseason. Now, those teams are forced to turn their attention to the offseason — with their first-round draft positions now set in stone.

The draft order is determined by record and uses strength of schedule as a tiebreaker (record and strength of schedule are official tiebreakers to determine the draft order). The final eight first-round spots will be determined by upcoming playoff results. Teams that lost this past weekend occupy spots Nos. 19-24.

The 2024 NFL draft is scheduled to be held in Detroit from April 25-27.

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NFL STATS CENTRAL: The latest NFL scores, schedules, odds, stats and more.

2024 NFL draft first-round order

(as of Jan. 17; * denotes wild-card round loser and # denotes remaining playoff team)

1. Chicago Bears (from Panthers) — Carolina Panthers' record: 2-15 (strength of schedule: .522)
2. Washington Commanders — Record: 4-13 (.512)
3. New England Patriots — Record: 4-13 (.522)
4. Arizona Cardinals — Record: 4-13 (.561)
5. Los Angeles Chargers — Record: 5-12 (.529)
6. New York Giants — Record: 6-11 (.512)
7. Tennessee Titans — Record: 6-11 (.522)
8. Atlanta Falcons — Record: 7-10 (.429)
9. Chicago Bears — Record: 7-10 (.464)
10. New York Jets — Record: 7-10 (.502)
11. Minnesota Vikings — Record: 7-10 (.509)
12. Denver Broncos — Record: 8-9 (.488)
13. Las Vegas Raiders — Record: 8-9 (.488)
14. New Orleans Saints — Record: 9-8 (.433)
15. Indianapolis Colts — Record: 9-8 (.491)
16. Seattle Seahawks — Record: 9-8 (.512)
17. Jacksonville Jaguars — Record: 9-8 (.533)
18. Cincinnati Bengals — Record: 9-8 (.574)
19. *Los Angeles Rams — Record: 10-7 (.529)
20. *Pittsburgh Steelers — Record: 10-7 (.540)
21. *Miami Dolphins — Record: 11-6 (.450)
22. *Philadelphia Eagles — Record: 11-6 (.481)
23. *Houston Texans (from Browns) — Cleveland Browns' record: 11-6 (.536)
24. *Dallas Cowboys — Record: 12-5 (.446)
25. #Green Bay Packers — Record: 9-8 (.474)
26. #Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Record: 9-8 (.481)
27. #Arizona Cardinals (from Texans) — Houston Texans' record: 10-7 (.474)
28. #Buffalo Bills — Record: 11-6 (.471)
29. #Kansas City Chiefs — Record: 11-6 (.481)
30. #Detroit Lions — Record: 12-5 (.481)
31. #San Francisco 49ers — Record: 12-5 (.509)
32. #Baltimore Ravens — Record: 13-4 (.543)

Teams without a first-round pick: Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns